Fiscal Policy and Diversifcation in Nigeria: A Time-Series Analysis
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Creator Bashir Olayinka Kolawole
Title Fiscal Policy and Diversifcation in Nigeria: A Time-Series Analysis
Contributor Eberechukwu E. Eleanya
Publisher Faculty of Economics, Chulalongkorn University
Publication Year 2561
Journal Title Southeast Asian Journal of Economics
Journal Vol. 6
Journal No. 1
Page no. 91-112
Keyword Diversification, ECM, fiscal policy, government expenditure,tax revenue
URL Website http://www.econ.chula.ac.th/public/publication/journal/sajehome.php
Website title Southeast Asian Journal of Economics
ISSN 2465-5120
Abstract This paper analyses efficacy of fiscal policy for diversification inNigeria. In addition, it examines the average impact of economic growth onthe diversity index by employing time series data covering the period from1980 to 2015. It adopts the Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root test to ascertain orderof integration of the series whilst the possibility of long-run relationshipamong the variables is ascertained using the Wald Test. The Ordinary LeastSquares (OLS) estimation reveals a significantly positive relationship betweenthe index of diversification and each of petroleum profit tax, capital expenditure,and fiscal freedom in the country. Thus, it concludes that fiscal policy variablesare effective for driving diversification in Nigeria. It, however, suggests thatthe government should strengthen its strategy for collecting the petroleumprofit tax. Also, the government should direct capital spending to the provisionof infrastructural facilities to boost manufacturing exports. Finally, a strongand independent institution for fruitful diversification process is recommended
Southeast Asian Journal of Economics

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