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Dancing with Algorithms: Mapping AI’s Impact on Tomorrow's Workforce (2025-2045) |
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| รหัสดีโอไอ | |
| Creator | Pathomporn Keadrungrit |
| Title | Dancing with Algorithms: Mapping AI’s Impact on Tomorrow's Workforce (2025-2045) |
| Publisher | National Institute of Development Administration |
| Publication Year | 2569 |
| Journal Title | NIDA Development Journal |
| Journal Vol. | 66 |
| Journal No. | 1 |
| Page no. | 99-123 |
| Keyword | Workforce Transformation Analytics, AI-Human Collaboration Dynamics, Labor Market Evolution, Policy-Driven Adaptation, Technological Displacement Mitigation |
| URL Website | https://so04.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/NDJ |
| Website title | NIDA Development Journal |
| ISSN | 2822-0536 |
| Abstract | This research charts the intricate choreography between artificial intelligence and labor markets from 2025 to 2045, introducing a novel framework that quantifies both displacement risks and augmentation opportunities. Through an extension of Acemoglu's automation model, the 30 key professions are analyzed by using the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) data, revealing distinct patterns of workforce transformation. Its findings demonstrate that AI’s impact creates a spectrum of change: from rapid displacement in data-entry positions (95% substitution within 2 years) to gradual enhancement in complex roles like radiologists. The study's dynamic simulation models compare unguided market evolution against policy-intervention scenarios, showing that strategic government involvement could reduce peak displacement rates by 30-40% while accelerating productivity gains. By introducing time-dynamic parameters and sector-specific transition rates, we provide a comprehensive framework for understanding and managing workforce adaptation in an AI-augmented economy. These insights offer policymakers and organizations a structured approach to navigate the transformation, suggesting that successful adaptation lies not in resisting technological change, but in orchestrating a harmonious integration of human and artificial intelligence. |
