Return behavior of the individual stocks: an empirical test on the weakform efficiency of SET50 and SET100stocks on the Stock Exchange of Thailand
รหัสดีโอไอ
Creator Nattawut Jenwittayaroje
Title Return behavior of the individual stocks: an empirical test on the weakform efficiency of SET50 and SET100stocks on the Stock Exchange of Thailand
Publisher KASETSART BUSINESS SCHOOL
Publication Year 2563
Journal Title Kasetsart Applied Business Journal
Journal Vol. 14
Journal No. 20
Page no. NO. 78-96
Keyword Individual Stocks, Correlation, Weekly Returns, Weak-Form Market Efficiency,Stock Exchange of Thailand
URL Website https://so04.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/KAB
Website title www.tci-thaijo.org/
ISSN 1906-0254 (print) 2539-6250 (online)
Abstract This study tests the weak-form market efficiency of weekly returns of each individual stock in SET50 and SET100 indices of the Stock Exchange of Thailand during January 2009to January 2020, using serial correlation tests and runs tests. The study finds that the correlation coefficients of past weeks? returns and current week?s return are very low in magnitude,and about 90% of those correlation coefficients are not statistically significant. The run testshows that, for about 90% of all individual stocks under study, the null hypothesis that weekly individual stock price changes are random cannot be rejected. Therefore, the results of thisstudy support the weak-form efficiency of those individual stocks in SET50 and SET100 indices, implying that any trading strategies in SET50- or SET100-stocks that rely on the stocks?past price history are unlikely to make abnormal profits.
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