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เหตุใดระบอบเผด็จการทหารจึงเปลี่ยนผ่าน?: กรณีสหภาพเมียนมาร์ |
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| รหัสดีโอไอ | |
| Creator | ละมัย พรมประทุม |
| Title | เหตุใดระบอบเผด็จการทหารจึงเปลี่ยนผ่าน?: กรณีสหภาพเมียนมาร์ |
| Publisher | คณะสังคมศาสตร์ มหาวิทยาลัยนเรศวร |
| Publication Year | 2555 |
| Journal Title | วารสารสังคมศาสตร์ มหาวิทยาลัยนเรศวร |
| Journal Vol. | 8 |
| Journal No. | 2 |
| Page no. | 71 |
| Keyword | Myanmar,transition,military withdrawal,authoritarian regime |
| ISSN | 1686-9192 |
| Abstract | The reforms the so-called "civilian government" of Myanmar after 30 March 2011 took many of the even most experienced politicians, diplomats and scientific observers by surprise. The "years of darkness" (in Obama's speech) seem to be over. The transformation process towards democracy and market economy is genuine. But the reasons for the regime opening up are still not clear. The goal is to find out more about the conditions for military withdrawal and transformation of authoritarian rule in Myanmar. The results show that there is no monocausal explanation. Many of the domestic reasons for the transformation of authoritarian regimes can be applied to the case of Myanmar. However, they only apply partially like split within the military or economic crisis. On the international conditions, neither the sanction-dominated policy of the West nor the constructive engagement-approach of Asian countries was the main factors for transformation. But one condition proved important: The close relationship to China led to fear in the Myanmar military of being dominated by an external power. In this sense, too much backing by an external power has contributed to transformation. |
