The Study of Bankruptcy Opportunities of Listed Companies on The Stock Exchange of Thailand in The Industrials Group
รหัสดีโอไอ
Creator Benjawan Supapattarapohn
Title The Study of Bankruptcy Opportunities of Listed Companies on The Stock Exchange of Thailand in The Industrials Group
Contributor Kamolwan Sanitnai, Thiphpharat Subantao, Phatcharida Wongwun, Phennapha Bureekhan, Wachiraphon Sakornphitak, Onruethai Khlongkhlaew, Athittayakon Saetang, Nilawan Maenman
Publisher Faculty of Management Science Nakhon Pathom Rajabhat University.
Publication Year 2568
Journal Title Journal of Management Science Nakhon Pathom Rajabhat University
Journal Vol. 12
Journal No. 2
Page no. 60-73
Keyword Bankruptcy, Z-Score Model, Zmijewski Model, Springate Model
URL Website https://so03.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/JMSNPRU/issue/view/18157
Website title https://so03.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/JMSNPRU/index
ISSN 2392-5817
Abstract The objective of this study was to examine the accuracy of bankruptcy risk predictions using the Z-Score, Zmijewski, and Springate models to identify the most suitable model for listed companies in the Industrials group on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The research uses data from the financial statements of companies with a fiscal year-end dates on December 31st, from the year 2020 to 2023. The dataset consists of 312 records from non-financially distressed companies and 288 records from financially distressed companies.The results of the study on forecasting bankruptcy risk for listed companies in the Industrials group on the Stock Exchange of Thailand, using the Diagnostic Test to compare the effectiveness of the Z-Score, Zmijewski, and Springate models, indicate that the Springate model demonstrates the highest accuracy in predicting financial failure. The model achieved a maximum accuracy rate of 67.00%, a sensitivity of 62.50%, a specificity of 81.25%, and a positive predictive value of 91.35%.
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