Overconfidence Bias across Countries: Evidence from South Asian Stock Market
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Creator Sami Uddin, Faid Gul, Fauzia Mubarik
Title Overconfidence Bias across Countries: Evidence from South Asian Stock Market
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Publisher TuEngr Group
Publication Year 2564
Journal Title International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies
Journal Vol. 12
Journal No. 7
Page no. 12A7U: 1-12
Keyword Anomaly, heuristics, Vector Autoregression, Granger causality test, Market reactions, Exogeneity Wald test Stock trading.
URL Website http://TuEngr.com/Vol12_7.html
Website title ITJEMAST V12(7) 2021 @ TuEngr.com
ISSN 2228-9860
Abstract Overconfidence in investors is generally associated with stock valuations and stock trading. High trading volumes represent biased self-attribution and self-overconfidence. Moreover, biased self-attribution leads to varying levels of overconfidence as compared to previous market returns. We test this proposition in the south Asian stock markets (Karachi stock exchange (Pakistan), Dhaka stock exchange (Bangladesh), and Bombay stock exchange (India)) in contrast to the U.S stock market (the Dow Jones Industrial average). The sample comprises corresponding index values from 2009-2018. Using Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Granger causality tests for our analysis, this study confirms that previous returns significantly cause excessive stock trading in Pakistani, Bangladeshi, and U.S stock markets when returns dispersion and returns volatility are controlled.
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