Predicting Vulnerability of Medicinal Plants Used by Karen People in Chiang Mai Province to Climatic Change
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Creator 1. Kornkanok Tangjitman
2. Chalobol Wongsawad
3. Chusie Trisonthi
Title Predicting Vulnerability of Medicinal Plants Used by Karen People in Chiang Mai Province to Climatic Change
Publisher Faculty of Environment and Resourdce Studies,Mahidol University
Publication Year 2558
Journal Title Environment and Natural Resources Journal
Journal Vol. 13
Journal No. 1
Page no. 61-69
Keyword diversity loss,extinction,conservationethno botany /Maxent
ISSN 16865456
Abstract Anthropogenic climate change has already had an impact on plant diversity and mortality around the world. To exemplify this issue, vulnerability of medicinal plants used by the Karen in Chiang Mai Province to climatic change was investigated using species distribution model (SDM). A total of 244 medicinal plants species were evaluated. The greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, A1B (medium-high emissions) and A2 (high emissions) were used to examine the potential future species distribution under climatic changes for the years 2050 and 2080. It was found that more than 60% of the plants were predicted to suffer significant losses in their suitable ranges by the years 2050 and 2080, respectively. Following the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN) Red List criteria, four plant species were predicted to become extinct due to climate change in Chiang Mai Province under A1B or A2 scenarios by 2080. Raising the climate change awareness of the Karen people and supporting the sustainable use of medicinal plants will be crucial in preserving the medicinal plants. Cultivating threatened medicinal plants in the home-gardens of the Karen people is also recommended in order to decrease the effects of climate change on these plants.
Environment and Natural Resources Journal

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