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A Study of Electricity Planning in Thailand: An Integrated Top-down and Bottom-up Modeling Analysis |
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| รหัสดีโอไอ | |
| Creator | 1. Supree Srisamran 2. Sutee Anantsuksomsri |
| Title | A Study of Electricity Planning in Thailand: An Integrated Top-down and Bottom-up Modeling Analysis |
| Publisher | Thammasat Printing House |
| Publication Year | 2558 |
| Journal Title | International Journal of Building, Urban, Interior and Landscape Technology |
| Journal Vol. | 5 |
| Page no. | 49-65 |
| Keyword | Electricity planning,CGE,Electricity generation and transmission module |
| ISSN | 2228-9194 |
| Abstract | This study illustrates the impact of three electricity policies to Thailand economy interms of macroeconomics performance, sectorial output, income distribution, and unemploymentrate. The three considered policies are the disruption of imported natural gas usedin electricity generation, the different of fuel feedstock portfolios for electricity generation,and the rising of investment and local electricity consumption. The evaluation employsComputable General Equilibrium (CGE) approach with the extension of electricitygeneration and transmission module to simulate the counterfactual scenario for each policy.The first simulation shows that the consequence of imported natural gas disruption. Theresult shows that the entire reduction of imported caused RGDP to drop by almost 0.1%. Onportfolio mixed of power generation, promoting hydro power is the most economical solution;nonetheless, adverse effect to RGDP is recognized. Rather the second best alternative ofdomestic natural gas dominated portfolio is recommended. Last simulation suggests thatseveral power plants such as South Bangkok, Siam Energy should be upgraded to cope withexpected 30% spike in power consumption due to regional trade and domestic investment. |
