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Assessing the impact of climate change on the distributionof endemic subalpine and alpine plants of New Guinea |
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| รหัสดีโอไอ | |
| Creator | Iyan Robiansyah |
| Title | Assessing the impact of climate change on the distributionof endemic subalpine and alpine plants of New Guinea |
| Publisher | Research and Development Office, Prince of Songkla University |
| Publication Year | 2561 |
| Journal Title | Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology |
| Journal Vol. | 40 |
| Journal No. | 3 |
| Page no. | 701 |
| Keyword | alpine, climate change, endemic plants, New Guinea, Subalpine |
| URL Website | http://rdo.psu.ac.th/sjstweb/index.php |
| ISSN | 0125-3395 |
| Abstract | Plant species of alpine and subalpine ecosystems in tropical mountains are prone to habitat loss due to future climatechange. In the present study, the impact of climate change on the distribution of five endemic plant species of subalpine andalpine regions in New Guinea is assessed using Maxent. Models developed for all species had an AUC > 0.9, TSS > 0.7 andsensitivity, specificity and overall accuracy better than 0.8, indicating high model performance. Current suitable habitats ofthe species were predicted to occur mainly along the mountain ranges in the middle of the New Guinea Island, with elevationand extreme temperature related variables being the most influential factors. Future predictions for these species showedsignificant loss of suitable habitats, especially in Papua New Guinea. These results may serve as a basis for planning theconservation actions needed to conserve the species, especially in addressing potential future climate change. |
